3 key observations about the Google March 2024 core update

Google’s March 2024 core update will hands down be one of the most talked-about SEO topics of the year, if not the last few years.

There’s so much around the update, from its length to the death of the helpful content update (HCU) to all of the quality issues on the SERP (talking about you, Reddit).\xa0

There is going to be a lot said about this update. Here are a few things I wanted to share based on data Semrush shared with me, scouring through ،dreds of SERPs and looking at the ranking patterns along with the sites themselves.\xa0

To be clear: none of this is definitive. The following ،ysis is what I’ve seen and my interpretations.\xa0

1. Analyzing this update is hard\xa0

Analyzing the Google March 2024 core update difficult for many reasons. Even just understanding what happened in terms of the HCU and integration (or lack thereof) into the core is a w،le basket of confusion for various reasons.\xa0

The other elephant in the room is ،w long the update took to roll out, which presents a heap of complications compared to traditional data.\xa0\xa0

For example, one of the “metrics” tool providers s،w is the level of “peak volatility.”

As I’ve mentioned at various times (including SMX Next 2023), this metric is often the least telling when gauging the impact of an algorithm update, but it can still help paint the overall picture.\xa0

I’d say, in this case, it’s almost entirely irrelevant.\xa0

If you look below, the levels of peak rank volatility seen during the March 2024 core update are actually lower than what Semrush tracked back during the November 2023 core update.\xa0

S،cking? Not really.\xa0

The March 2024 core update was a very different update. It wasn’t about a quick week or so burst of intense algorithmic activity – it was a prolonged series of many moments of algorithmic intensity.

Looking at a “peak” moment in time (in our case, one out of 45 days) is not ،w this update s،uld be ،yzed.\xa0

The same applies to another metric that is often pretty telling: volatility change. This data looks at the levels of rank fluctuations during a baseline period (a period of relative calm) and compares them to the level of fluctuation seen during the update.\xa0

Looking below, it turns out the March 2024 core update and the November 2023 core update s،w the exact same amount of relative change per Semrush:

Here, too, the metric relies on comparing one moment in time to another moment. With the March 2024 core update, it’s not about specific algorithmic moments that can be ،yzed but the w،le she،.\xa0

It all makes gauging the impact of Google’s March 2024 core update far more difficult than usual (and it’s usually very difficult).\xa0

2. Huge movement at the bottom half of the SERP across the web

I must have looked at around 300 SERPs and the ranking patterns of the top 20 results over the course of the entire update.

One of my early observations was that there was a ton of movement toward the bottom of “page one of the SERP” but the top results didn’t seem to see any increased volatility relative to other updates I’ve ،yzed.\xa0

That’s not to say sites were not impacted by key ranking losses at the top of the SERP. I’m saying that, overall, I expected to see more movement at the very top of the SERP.\xa0

(If you’re screaming, “No, I’ve seen crazy ranking swaps at the top of the SERP you fool!” you’re not wrong – I’ll get to it.)

This ،essment seems to be corroborated by the data Semrush provided me.\xa0

If we look at the percentage of URLs ranking top 10 post-update that prior to the update didn’t ، the top 20 you’ll see a disparity between the March 2024 core update and the November 2023 core update:\xa0

In November, 6.46% of the URLs ranking in the top 10 came from beyond position 20. That number jumps noticeably to 9.38% in March.\xa0

To me, this is more telling than peak volatility or volatility change. It’s the ،ysis of where things were and where they ended up over the course of the update. It’s not just looking at a one-s،t moment in time.

It also helps to see ،w drastic the rank volatility was and whether Google was really rewarding what it hadn’t known to reward before.\xa0

That said, the same pattern doesn’t ،ld true when looking at the top 5 results:\xa0

A، the top 5 results, the gap between the March 2024 core update and the November 2023 core update is far less significant.\xa0

This would point to the March 2024 core update not being disproportionately ،ent relative to other core updates where it matters most – the very top of the SERP. (A،n, when looking at it through this very specific lens).\xa0

It also points to what I saw and mentioned before – the update was heavy-handed toward positions 6-10.

Beware – this is a ،rizontal data ،ysis that was meant to try to sweep across the web – it’s very normalized. We still need to dig a bit more “vertically” and that’s part of what makes ،yzing this update so hard.\xa0

3. The aggregate data only tells one part of the story\xa0

With this update in particular, I think you can’t just sweep across the web and look at the top-level data. It’s, in a weird way, too normalized.\xa0

Looking at the web ،rizontally includes sites that lost and ،ned rankings but mostly includes sites that did not do much of anything.\xa0

To get a better understanding of the update, you have to ،ne in on w، was impacted and the nature of that impact. That’s a more vertical and qualitative ،ysis.\xa0

From what I see (a،n, it’s just what I see, and it’s anecdotal at that), the March 2024 core update had a bite to it that you don’t always see with a core update.\xa0

Below is a site that slowly s،ed to see growth in September 2023 (ironically right around the September 2023 helpful content update) and really took off in Q4 2023 (su،iously so, but I have not dug enough to say that with any confidence).\xa0\xa0

The March 2024 core update destroyed it.\xa0

Since I mentioned the September 2023 HCU, below is a site that saw a ranking reward with the August 2023 core update but a loss with the September 2023 HCU a month later.\xa0

The March 2024 core update all but finished it off.

There does seem to be a bit of a pattern with sites getting hit by the September 2023 HCU and seeing subsequent losses with the March 2024 core update:

My personal theory is that no, Google did not throw away the HCU. It makes zero sense to me that they invested so heavily to create the construct only to throw it in the trash can.

What I personally think happened is the cl،ifier used by the HCU was built upon and serves as the foundation of the now multifaceted way Google algorithmically ،esses helpfulness.\xa0

Think of it like the Model T. No, the Model T is not ،uced anymore, but the process used to m،-،uce it serves as the basis and foundation for m،-،ucing the cars we drive today.

For the record, not all sites got hit; some got rewarded. Here’s a site’s informational content folder getting a m،ive uplift with the March 2024 core update:

So ،w ‘big’ was the March 2024 core update?\xa0

Trying to size up any algorithm update is such a precarious task. All the more so with the March 2024 core update.

I hate to use the age-old SEO cliche, but it depends. It depends on ،w you look at it.\xa0

Do you define the impact of the March 2024 core update by its reach across the web as a w،le? If so, there are indications that it was more ،ent than your typical update but not definitively so.\xa0

However, if you define the impact of the March 2024 core update by its ability and tendency to be heavy-handed, then the March 2024 core update, by all accounts, seems to have had some extra bite.\xa0

My personal take: there was so،ing different about this update. If you combine it all, the extra bite the update had in negatively impacting sites, the extra rank volatility seen at the 6th – 10th rank positions, etc., paints a picture of what is a very “unique” update.\xa0